by iceman5 » Tue Sep 27, 2005 2:42 pm
Theres some very good analysis here. I have to agree with RHound that another flush draw is unlikely. Forget what I have, what part of the betting pattern suggests a flush draw on their parts?
Maybe UTG has a flush draw ( I doubt it), but if he does, I might be able to get him to fold if I push. He only has $4 invested.
Lets say he does have a flush draw WITH overcards. Im still even money with him and thats just about worse case sceanrio.
Of course I could easily fold here, but there were many many combinations of hands that I beat and I have pretty good equity with my flush draw if I get them both all in , not to mention I have outs for 2 pair or trips that might be good.
So I pushed in . UTG called as did UTG+1. UTG had a set of 6's and UTG+1 had AA. if it had been the other way around, I wouldve been in better shape since I would be a favorite agaisnt AA who wouldve had the bigger stack.
I got no help and the set won the pot.
RHound, the only part of your analysis that didnt make sense was that you said if one of them had a set he would slowplay. I would say that betting $4 into a $12 pot with a set and a flush draw avail IS a slow play. So Im not sure whwy you didnt think UTG couldve had a set. I didnt think he had one, but based on your analysis, I would think that YOU wouldve thought he did.
iceman5
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