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set. call the river bet?

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set. call the river bet?

Postby kennyg » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:44 am

1/2 prima.

I've been pretty aggressive on the table. have no idea if anyone even cares. The SB is a winning player but a small winning player. Button i really don't know. He has $200 so i give him a little credit.


Dealt [7c][7d] in BB. One poster in MP. Button calls. SB completes. I check.

FLOP $9
[7h][Qc][2c]

SB leads for $4. I thought about raising..but everyone has been folding to me so I just called. The button calls as well.

TURN $21
[7h][Qc][2c][8d]

Good card. SB bets $12. Ok..now I think he has something like 2 pair or possibly 22. I rise to $36. Button cold calls?!?! SB also calls.

RIVER$129
[7h][Qc][2c][8d][5c]

Wonderful. Straight and flush hit on the river. SB and I check to button. Button bets $50. Sb folds back to me.

$50 to call in a $179 pot.

Obviously I'm not gonna raise here. Call or fold??

Results later.
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Postby CocaCola » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:55 am

with 1 person in the hand i'd just call, and regret it later

but with 2 people, its hard to imagine neither one having a made hand or completing a draw

with that said i would probably still call :cry:
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Postby rdale » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:04 am

I think the price is too good to fold :(

Unless he is a known chronic flush chaser, you are pretty much stuck calling.
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Postby briachek » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:18 am

I don't slow play when there is a flush draw on the board. Plus, if you want to win a big pot, gotta make it bit. I raise that flop bet to $12 and ready to push that turn hard if a non club hits.

As you play it, I think you call because of the odds you get and he could just have a Q that he couldn't lay it down. I guess since you are posting you either layed it down and wish you didn't or called and lost.
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Postby Chris-bg » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:42 am

He may have 22 or even AQ, I'm not that worried about him and since the sb folded i'm not worried of him making his flush either. I definitely call. I would even consider raising that river if I knew my opponent better.

I'd raise the flop though, the sb weak bet looks like he's chasing the flush, not a good idea to just call him.
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Postby bensberg » Thu Aug 11, 2005 9:34 am

Bleh. I call this too and probably hate myself. Button probably had something like [9c] [Tc]
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Postby Rhound50 » Thu Aug 11, 2005 10:26 am

You are getting almost 4:1 on your call so I think you have to make this call. If he was bad enough to cold call a bet and a raise with a flush draw on the turn you have to pay him off for this price. You easily win this pot 1 out of 4 times, so the call is +ev. Plus being on the button he could be on a bluff, though every possible draw did just get there so its not likely he is on a missed draw.
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Postby k3nt » Thu Aug 11, 2005 11:16 am

No way button is playing just a straight draw. 96o or 64o on a board of Q72? Not gonna happen.

The only way he's playing is if he had two flush cards on the flop.

Which he does. Call and call and call with the flush draw is what the idiots like to do.

He's been a calling station all hand long and now he bets the river?

It's a flush most of the time.

But is it a flush 179 times out of 229? I say yes. If he wanted to bluff, he would bluff it bigger.

Fold but call isn't terrible.
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Postby T-Rod » Thu Aug 11, 2005 1:42 pm

Education help needed.

Many of you say you are getting great odds to call (almost 4:1). Okay, but what are you comparing your odds too? What math are you doing after the river card has fallen here?

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Postby kennyg » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:03 pm

I called because of the almost 4:1 odds and he showed [9c][6c] for the flush. I knew it was really likely he had the flush..but he made a very good size value bet.

Trodgers...the 4 to 1 odds mean that if i call, in order to be +EV I have to win 1 out of every 4 times.
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Postby T-Rod » Thu Aug 11, 2005 2:27 pm

Sorry you missed on the flush.

I understand that you have to win 1 of 4 to be +EV. But at the moment, when you are considering the call, what math are you doing? Do you run back over the possible opponent hands, odds of them happenign, and then compare to pot odds? Or is it just a feel (which is what I've been using).

Tim
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Postby Xaston » Thu Aug 11, 2005 5:41 pm

I just take all the information I know and estimate what % of time I think I have the best hand, and compare it to my pot odds.
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