by Aisthesis » Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:13 pm
I really don't like making your move this late in the hand. There's too much money in and only one card to draw. To me, this is a great example of where pounding the flop would be a very nice play. You get a weak bet in a raised pot, and you have a nice draw (which isn't necessarily any good, as has been noted).
While I don't think I would have bet it out here (wanting to see how the raiser likes the flop), I'd probably checkraise the weak flop bet to about $60 or $70. If I got a caller, I'd probably check it to the river with or without the flush (with the flush just check-calling; without, check-folding).
Another option, which is probably really the most sound, is just continuing to check-call on the turn. Basically, punish the weak bets by proceeding with the draw against someone who isn't protecting whatever hand he may have (and he doesn't really seem to need to protect it much with AdKd).
Anyhow, another note from my cursory review of Brunson: When you bet (whether flat out bluff, real hand, or whatever), you're much better off if your opponent is risking MORE than you are. Here, if you make the move on the flop, your opponent is risking his stack over and against a $60-$70 checkraise. If you make the move on the turn, your opponent is risking exactly the same amount that you are, because a reasonable bet leaves no real stack-depth.
Last edited by
Aisthesis on Sat Jul 16, 2005 4:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.