by GodlikeRoy » Tue May 29, 2007 8:43 pm
Surprisingly, this is a clear-cut call.
I put the hand range of your opponent into pokerstove.
The range I gave him: KcKd,KcKs,KdKh,KdKs,QQ-JJ,4c4d,4d4h,4h4s.
I think he folds 44 preflop about half the time and a couple of times with KK he would 4bet preflop or shove the flop. Other than that, this is pretty much his range.
Your hand has 48.674% equity vs this range. If you add even one combination of AQs, you have like 52% equity. Definite call.
Even if you add things like flush draws (89d or whatever) it would still be a call, though I imagine he would shove the flop with those a very high percentage of the time. And the times you're up against a made flush can be offset by him having other random hands like the other AA, or a bluff (he's almost never bluffing, but you never know when someone is tilting or w/e so you have to account maybe a 2% chance of this)
Anyway, call.
Shoving the turn may be a better option but I cbf working anything more out atm.