by emmasdad » Thu Jan 12, 2006 10:51 am
Heavy stuff. How about a selective strike on all known nuclear targets for maximum effect, coupled with a decapitation strike on command, control, communication and inteligence. The upside:
1. No more nukes.
2. No more current regieme, which is clearly unacceptable by anybody's standards. (Holocaust denial, calling for destruction of Israel).
3. Ensuring that Iran (the state, not its people) is not a viable international threat for years to come.
The downside:
1. Exactly who is going to attack Iran? U.S. and U.K. lack political capital in their own countries. Israel? That option creates its own security concerns.
2. Guaranteed source of West hating homicide bombers for generations to come (not really sure that this would change anything in actuality).
3. U.S., U.K., and Israel isolated on the world political scene. I know that some do not consider this a downside, but the U.S., U.K. and Israel really should play nice with the rest of Europe, Russia and China.
4. Attacking Iran only emboldens other states. What is coming from the former Soviet central Asian republics, which are predominantly Muslim? And they still have Soviet nukes on their territory.
Parting thoughts:
A first strike by Israel, coupled with a military blockade of the country with support from the U.S. and U.K., is completely justified. How to sell it to the rest of the world, and the citizens of the U.S. and U.K., becomes the question.
A first strike by Israel using tactical nuclear weapons on nuclear targets is another possibility. I have a very difficult time justifying first use, but when one considers that the survival of the entire state is at risk and has been directly threatened by a sworn enemy, if first use is ever justifiable, it is now.
Damn, I just started WW III. I can still play poker from my shack in Montana, right?