Advanced search

Folded a set, comments appreciated

Hand analysis. Post your trouble hands here

Moderators: iceman5, LPF Police Department

Folded a set, comments appreciated

Postby Magz » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:33 am

Guy just sat down, no read

Party Poker No-Limit Hold'em, $ BB (6 max, 6 handed)

Button ($45.65)
SB ($49)
BB ($62.72)
UTG ($63.15)
MP ($36.45)
Hero ($49.70)

Preflop: Hero is CO with [2h], [2c]. SB posts a blind of $0.25.
UTG calls $0.50, 1 fold, Hero calls $0.50, Button calls $0.50, SB (poster) completes, BB checks.

Flop: ($2.50) [7h], [9h], [2d] (5 players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $1, Button raises to $3, SB folds, BB folds, UTG folds, Hero raises to $10, Button calls $7.

Turn: ($22.50) [8c] (2 players)
Hero bets $10, Button calls $35.15 (All-In), Hero folds.

Final Pot: $67.65

Results in white below:
No showdown. Button wins $67.65.


What could he have to push with there that didn't have me beat? Or was it a bad laydown?
_______________________

xxx: You raise with shit
yyy: So?
User avatar
Magz
 
Posts: 216
Joined: Mon Mar 28, 2005 8:04 am
Location: Sweden

Postby GodlikeRoy » Sun Oct 23, 2005 7:55 am

I think it's a good laydown. The only hands I can put him on that you have beat are 89 and TT. Possibly JJ - AA but since there's no PF raise I don't think much of that. On the other hand, he could have 77, 88, 99, 67h, TJh, 67o, TJo, and it seems much more likely that he has one of these hands.
Poker is silly.

It is not enough to be good at chess, you must also play well.

Somewhere in the world someone is training when you are not. When you race him, he will win.

User avatar
GodlikeRoy
 
Posts: 7430
Joined: Sun Jul 24, 2005 1:43 am

Postby laynegt » Sun Oct 23, 2005 9:58 am

you're in too deep to fold. i agree it feels like you're beat, but you're getting over 3.5:1 to call and he might have JJ/TT, something like [Ah][8h], or like 98. since he just called your flop reraise, i think it makes a set somewhat less likely. i think TT is as likely as each of the higher sets.
User avatar
laynegt
 
Posts: 698
Joined: Mon May 02, 2005 9:12 am
Location: Cambridge, MA

Postby poker2006 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 2:49 pm

I also think it's too late to fold. If he has a str, you have 10 outs to a boat. With these types of board, he could easily have 2 pair, or 1 pair and a draw.
-- andyG [Ah]
I try to learn something new every day. Winning comes by itself.
User avatar
poker2006
 
Posts: 1195
Joined: Mon Apr 04, 2005 12:51 pm

Postby ua1176 » Sun Oct 23, 2005 4:18 pm

i think a straightforward villain could have:

9-9/7-7 for the overset.
9-7 for flopped top 2.
[Th][8h]

a made straight is very unlikely. villain would have had to raise your bet and then call your reraise with only a gutshot...either JT or 65. [Ah][8h] is a possibility but an unlikely one. it looks like he probably has you over-setted or you have him drawing very slim with 9-7. when he pushes.....there's $68 in the pot and its costing you $25 to call. you're getting close to 3:1 on your call. there are 6 ways for him to have you oversetted and 9 ways for him to have 9-7. i would call and hope for the best.

jon
User avatar
ua1176
 
Posts: 2314
Joined: Sun Jun 12, 2005 12:35 pm
Location: harrison, NY


Return to No Limit Hold'em Cash Games

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 6 guests

cron