This is more a psychological question rather than an odds question. How much are you willing to gamble?

You are in a live NL game with a mixture of players. Rocks, LAGs and at least one is drunk and has been playing all night.

You are LP with KQo and decided to limp in to see the flop for $3. The pot has $15.

The flop is .

The BB (drunk) in seat 1 checks, four other players check. You are last to act and decided to bet $15. Now the pot has $30.

Now the drunk wakes up and goes all in for $1200. Everyone folds to you. You have $250.

No way are you going to call that with just Top Pair and Good Kicker. But, before you muck the drunk shows you his cards.

.

You have not acted yet and you are free to call if you want.

call or fold?

Let's say that I was the observer on this hand so I will not get slammed for playing KQo.

To help you out I ran this hand using PokeStove and you are about 55%. The pot has $280 and you need to call $250.

After the action the player UTG says he mucked KQo. That would make you 52.5%.

I just though this would interesting since NL is not just about the odds.

Given all that information, why would you not call? Only reason not to is scared money. And if that's the case, you shouldn't have started playing in the first place.

Sorry for the confusion.

That was a hypothetical situation based on an actual hand. The real question is 'how much are you or I willing to gamble on a 55/45 shot for all your chips'.

Most players say sure and many do not give it much thought.

I used this play to set up the question. It is easier than just asking are you willing to risk all your chips for a 54/48 - QQ vs. AA for instance.

The only way to know for sure the odds is to see the cards.

So after the cards were exposed 1/2 the table said that the player should have called WITHOUT knowing the cards.

I think that calling an all in without having a solid read on the player is not correct on this hand. How do you know he was only on a flush draw? He could have had AQ or a small set.

So asking that question is silly toi me. So, I changed it.

I though it would be an interesting look at dynamics of NL play. Plays like this come up all the time.

BTW - I meant to post this under ring games. and if you were in a MTT you would be risking you trounment on a 55% chance to win.

Moved to the appropriate section.