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any day now

Postby MBuckler » Sun Oct 16, 2005 5:35 am

so over my last 2 sessions ive seen 45 pocket pairs that have gon to the flop. of those 45 i have flopped exactly 0 sets.
this is getting quite fustrating.
im almost positive that as soon as i flop a set lee jones will make sure that ill be on the wrong side of a set over set
also
over the 2728 hands that ive got in my PT since i got my new computer (see rant post in anything goes) ive had a total of 158 PPs, which have led to an astonishing 5, count them, 1..2...3...4...5 sets
is it just me or does it seem like im due?
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Postby black_knight6 » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:22 am

No such thing as 'due' in probability theory ;) Each trial is independent and has no memory...so, it's UNLIKELY that you would get so many PP to the flop without hitting a set, but the probability of hitting a set on your next flop with a PP is STILL 1/8....nothing changes that. If you look at the probability of flipping a coin 100 times and getting 100 heads...it's extremely low...but what's the probability that your 100th flip is heads given the first 99 have been (assuming a fair coin)? STILL 50%! Doesn't matter what happened before...
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Postby BigPhish » Sun Oct 16, 2005 11:45 am

lady luck owes you a hummer, but not a set, as BK explained. ;)
-BigPhish
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