by Aisthesis » Sat Aug 20, 2005 4:50 am
Well, actually, part of your question has to do with my post-game thoughts tonight (finally a winning session again!). Basically, I think the real difference between T9s/JTs on the one hand and the little suited connectors (54s-98s) on the other is that the former are not capable of handling a raise--despite the fondness of some for JTs.
My reasoning is this: Against any credible raiser (unless you have some sort of tell indicating that they're raising an underpair to your JTs), your straighting outs are taken away by the usual hands they're representing, and if they happen to be present, you may be getting into your draw against someone holding a big set (e.g., JTs on a board of Q9X).
If you have 76s against a credible raiser and hit your draw, then there's really at most one big card on the board. And, again, fours, fives, and eights are all still in the deck as far as you know. Moreover, your true longshot boards of something like 772 or whatever are at least out there and aren't going to run into real difficulties most of the time.
Anyhow, while I know JTs (and even JTo) are very popular for calling raises these days, that's why I don't think one is going to show any kind of profit off of that move (barring some very specific tells, which I at the moment don't have in that great detail on anyone).
As to your QJo question, I just lay it down normally if I have a Q with action coming at me. I think ice and I are in very slight disagreement on this one, but I personally prefer just to fold if I'm not capable of raising (and I might actually raise it under certain circumstances, but I'd say those would be pretty rare--like players who are all about Q5 in that situation).
I actually had a hand like that tonight, on which the turn made things pretty easy: I limp with QJs in MP, 6 see the flop. Flop comes Jrags (one to my suit but rainbow). I bet pot and LP flat calls. For some reason, I put him on something like KJ rather than anything else (in fact he had AJo--it was a fairly tight player). And when I got the call, I was a bit concerned about what to do on the turn (correct would have been check-fold imo, but I'm not sure I would have had the discipline, I'll regrettably have to admit). Anyhow, the turn comes a Q, giving me 2 pair (by the way, another heart, which was my suit, and I would like to check-call here), so I bet a little more than half the pot. River a blank, and we show down after we both check.
I could also have bet the river here, I suppose (cf. droq's thoughts of a few weeks ago), but I really don't like it. We had a pot by that time of $200, so I guess I could fire $80-$100 at it, and let him possibly make a river mistake by calling (and I suppose I'd have to call if he raised me). But that's the way I played it, and I'd like to have more of a hand before trying to milk the river, really.
My real view of these trouble hands under normal circumstances (i.e., you flop TP) is that they're just "keeping up with the blinds" hands. You really want everyone to simply fold to your flop bet and then forget about the hand after picking up the blinds and however many limps are out there. This is particularly true imo if you don't truly have top kicker with your top pair. The good thing about them is that they're high percentage in terms of hitting the flop (in contrast to sets or suited connectors). But you don't want to deal with any real heat on them.