This is the reason why I need at least a set to ever bet the river.
I'm GUESSING that you're ahead, so I suppose I make the call. It does just look way too much to me like bluffing a busted draw.
But I check the river every time with that hand. Set, AQ and Q9 are definitely out there.
I do like calling the minimum raise here, though, and am becoming a lot more comfortable with that play noticing the junk that some people raise with.
I'd be interested in hearing your thoughts on that one, droq. To me, it's dependent mostly on how the weak raiser then behaves. If he's going to play very aggressively regardless, I might raise my own criteria a little (KQ, AJ). But the course of this hand suggests that he has no intention of making a continuation bet and folds easily.
I think that actually UPGRADES hands like KJ, which do hit the flop often but with which I don't want to get in excessively deep on normal TP type boards. The problem with waiting for sets against that type of raiser (well, if it's a min-raise, it's not really that big a deal) is that you can't expect to get paid off. As Grant Pittman once pointed out on UPF, when you call a raise with 22, you WANT your opponent to have AA or KK, because those are the guys who'll pay you off. This type of raiser won't.
Oh, one other thought regarding "working on river aggression." Maybe I'll get to that point eventually, but most of the people I've seen who like making these river bets with TP-type hands (and I include 2 pair in that group) I just interpret largely as limit players, where I figure the move does have a lot of merit because you have to suck every bit of EV out of your winning hands there. But in limit, you also can't suddenly get into playing for stack when you don't want to.
My current attitude is more: On the river you no longer have to worry about protecting your hand. So, the real function of betting it is simply to get monsters paid off by those who have already put so much money in that they have trouble getting away from their losers. With a monster, I tend to bet a little harder than just "selling the hand" would dictate (half the pot is often a pretty big bet on the river) because I feel like keeping them worried about having folded the best hand also has a psychological function. But it's generally a bet that someone CAN call if curiosity gets the best of them--and of course, I may also bet and get overboated or overflushed or something like that but still feel like I have too much hand to lay down to the re-raise. Good example that I've been discussing with one player lately: Quads vs. overfull. I'm just paying quads off pretty much every time if I have the overfull. Sorry to ramble so much, though...
