by Aisthesis » Tue Jun 21, 2005 3:22 am
There was an interesting player at the table tonight whose raises I could never really figure out.
For quite a while he was making raises to $35 on SOMETHING (this was a pretty big raise at this table), not exactly sure what, and I never had a truly big hand to test him with a re-raise. Anyhow, if he was making these on truly premium hands, he was catching a lot of those, and no one ended up getting him to show, although once an A flashed. Just guessing, I'd say it occurred about every 20 hands over a period of maybe 2-3 hours, then died down for the last couple of hours. He did show a 55 once, which I'm pretty sure was unraised (one of the guys at the table speculated "any pocket pair," but I'm a bit skeptical of that theory).
The one time I did have a hand to challenge him a bit was a JJ I had in one of the blinds (he had position on me, sitting across the table). I just flat call, and the flop comes T-high. I went ahead and bet $70 into it, and he flat-called. Right or wrong, I somehow put him on QQ at that point (just my intuition). Q hits on the turn. I check to him, and he moves in for $250. I obviously fold, since there's all kinds of stuff out there that beats me (guy next to me, who was a pretty good reader, also put him on QQ).
Anyhow, I don't have any problems with my betting on that hand, but it's interesting to me that he didn't raise the flop if he did have QQ. I wonder if he feared a set from me (I'm sure he read me as tight by that time, although I don't think we'd played together before) on the flop. But it's also possible that he was raising and calling with something like AQ (or even AK and thought that after my check, the Q was a scare-card for me, as it was).
So, now to my real question: Thinking about this hand, this guy is going to be very hard to stack when I do make my set, and $35 is a pretty big raise to deal with (I have to take somewhere around $250 when I hit in order to make drawing to the set profitable). Well, if my QQ assessment was right, I don't think I can do that against this guy. So, my conclusion for the moment was simply: Just lay down little pairs and give him no action on that kind of raise.
I also think he might be a good candidate for an AK re-raise, although I wish someone at the table had hit AA or KK to his $35 raise just to see his response to a re-raise first. Any ideas?
If it's worth anything as point of information, I gathered he had played some big games before out in L.A. He didn't seem like a super-great player (did a lot of calling and turned over a lot of AX hands after limps, too), but it kind of aggravates me trying to figure out this $35 raise thing as well as appropriate counter-strategy. Hopefully I'll see him again and get some more data on what this raise really means...