and they are after me..ive just noticed that i had 29000 hands of breakeven play when I first moved to 100s, now after 70,000k im running at avg 4ptbb
to make story short...last 5 k hands(i know small sample, 2.5 days of play) im struggling and im not really sure whats the problem..it feels as if something has changed, to worse

the hand..
villian is your typical fish, 51/1.4/2.9 with showdown of 40%+
he has 130$ and i have him covered
villian is MP, he limps, OTB limps, sb folds and i raise to 6$ in BB
MP calls amd flop is , pot is 13.5$
i decide that board is not too draw heavy and i bet 9$ into it and fish calls
turn is a and i decide to bet again(ppl are starting to steal from me since my turn aggro is only 2.0(barely) so i bet 17$ into 31.5$ pot and fish calls again
turn is and i decide to VB so i bet 25$ into 65$ pot since i thought villian might have KQ or QJ(QT would be scary and only hands i would fear here are lucky T9 or QT)
and then..fish reraises me to 70$(45$ to call into 200$ pot) so i decide to call
thoughts?
tnx

I normally would check behind on the river here, but if the guy goes to showdown 40%+, then a value bet is fine. Once he raises, I doubt you have the winner.

Bet more on the river so you can be more sure that youre beat if he raises.



By the way.....you played 29K hands of break even and just NOW realized it?

Who the fk only raises 3% of the hands they play? I'm sorry, but that's one of the funniest statlines I've ever seen. I laughed a good 2-3 minutes at that.

Anywho, you controlled the size of the pot well on the flop/turn. You have to call the $45 and bang your head when he shows [8s]. I'd check/call here just because his AF's one that'll bluff and his calls are pretty weird postflop.

dont make weak value bet on river unless you are prepare to call a raise. on this board i think you better off with a check/call or as someone already mention make a real VB on river that will define your opponent hand if he raises you.