Opponent just finished first round but i had about 500 hands on him. 20/10 1.5 aggression factor.

How's my line?

Prima Poker skin
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $5/$10
5 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $1168.00
CO: $1509.99
Button: $997.00
Hero: $980.00
BB: $1001.00

Pre-flop: (5 players) Hero is SB with
UTG calls, 2 folds, Hero calls, BB checks.

Flop: ($30, 3 players)
Hero bets $30, BB folds, UTG raises to $100, Hero raises all-in $945

STANDARD.

might as well get it all in and hope for the best, thats how most donks beat us

I realize this the standard push with 15 outs play, but do you really think that a 20/10/1.5 guy here has a overpair or A8?

I think the idea is you have FE and that makes it worth the push, but I see this type of guy having a set here WAY more often than some overpair, etc (its a limped pot). I'm guessing set 75% of the time and A8/99 25%. If he has a set, pushing is bad. If he has A8 and just raised, won't he shut down on the turn/river giving us our draw cheaply? Wouldn't a reraise and not a shove tell us this?

he had top set. i was 40/60.

if he had an over pair or A8 i was 56/44 which i'm very happy with considering there was already 150 in the pot.

T,
i'm not sure why you put him on a set automatically. but how would you play it instead?