by Xaston » Fri Aug 11, 2006 2:32 pm
This is the way I look at it.
Your opponent is dealt two cards. His range of hands is any two cards.
Your opponent does X pre flop from Y position. This narrows his hand range to C, D, E, F, and G.
The flop comes #%$. Your opponent does this when you do this. Of hands C, D, E, F, and G, he would only do this with C, E, F, and G. He wouldn't play this flop this way with D. We have narrowed his hand range further.
The turn is a @. Your opponent does this when you do that. Of hands C, E, F, and G, he would only do that with C, E, and G. He can't have F. We have narrowed his hand range further.
Etc.
There's a little math (You have QQ, he would do this with AA, KK, and AK for instance.) You AREN'T completely slaughtered 66.66% of the time and a coinflip 33.33% of the time like some might say. 57% of the time you're against AK and 43% of the time you are against AA or KK.
So basically combine a LOT of what you know about your opponent, a little math, and a little logic.
Boy, you got me confused with a man who repeats himself.