Just played my first session of 50NL. I did really well at first, was up almost 3 buyins... ended up down 3 though. Here are some hands from the session, any criticism is very welcome

Hand 1: He just got stacked about 3 hands ago. No idea what he had in that hand so I figured standard donk.

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players


Stack sizes:
hero: $150.15
UTG+1: $22.65
CO: $79.95
Button: $49.25
SB: $49.50
BB: $50.25

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is UTG with
hero raises to $2, 3 folds, SB raises to $5.75, BB folds, hero calls.

Flop: ($12, 2 players)
SB bets $10, hero raises all-in $144.4, SB calls all-in $33.75.
Uncalled bets: $100.65 returned to hero.

Turn: ($99.5, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $99.5)


River: ($99.5, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $99.5)


Results:
Final pot: $99.5
SB showed Ac Ad
hero mucks Kc Ah

Hand 2:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $15.45
UTG+1: $46.25
CO: $56.25
Button: $48.70
hero: $50.25
BB: $48.75

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is SB with
3 folds, Button calls, hero raises to $2, BB folds, Button calls.

Flop: ($4.5, 2 players)
hero bets $3, Button calls.

Turn: ($10.5, 2 players)
hero bets $6, Button raises to $12, hero raises to $39.5, Button calls.

River: ($89.5, 2 players)
hero is all-in $5.75, Button calls all-in $4.2.
Uncalled bets: $1.55 returned to hero.

Results:
Final pot: $97.9
hero showed Kh Kd
other guy showed AA


Hand 3: Can I fold here EVER at 50NL, regardless of how obvious it is he has aces?

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $42.10
hero: $61.30
CO: $86.40
Button: $38.70
SB: $50
BB: $53.65

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is UTG+1 with
UTG calls, hero raises to $2, 4 folds, UTG raises to $4, hero raises to $10, UTG raises all-in $42.1, hero calls.

Flop: ($84.95, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $84.95)


Turn: ($84.95, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $84.95)


River: ($84.95, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $84.95)


Results:
Final pot: $84.95
UTG showed Ad Ac
hero mucks Kc Ks

Hand 4: good, bad, ugly?

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $47
UTG+1: $57
CO: $25.65
hero: $48
SB: $50
BB: $13.70

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is Button with
2 folds, CO (poster) checks, hero raises to $2, 2 folds, CO calls.

Flop: ($4.75, 2 players)
CO checks, hero bets $1.5, CO raises to $3, hero calls.

Turn: ($10.75, 2 players)
CO bets $5.5, hero raises to $20, CO calls.

River: ($50.75, 2 players)
CO is all-in $0.65, hero calls.

Results:
Final pot: $52.05
CO showed Jd Jh

Hand 5: I hate 12 tabling because i didnt even realize i got a beat like this until i was looking through hands..

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
4 players


Stack sizes:
hero: $96.40
Button: $26.40
SB: $17.35
BB: $40

Pre-flop: (4 players) hero is UTG with
hero raises to $2, Button folds, SB calls, BB folds.

Flop: ($4.5, 2 players)
SB checks, hero bets $2, SB raises all-in $15.35, hero calls.

Turn: ($35.2, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $35.2)


River: ($35.2, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $35.2)


Results:
Final pot: $35.2
SB showed Ts Ah
hero mucks 9c Qh

Hand 6:

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $44.50
UTG+1: $54.20
CO: $63.90
Button: $22.70
SB: $48.20
hero: $50

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is BB with
2 folds, CO calls, Button raises to $2, SB folds, hero raises to $5, CO folds, Button raises all-in $22.7, hero calls.

Flop: ($46.15, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $46.15)


Turn: ($46.15, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $46.15)


River: ($46.15, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $46.15)


Results:
Final pot: $46.15
hero showed Jh Js
other guy showed QQ

Hand 7: How bad is this?

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $133.70
UTG+1: $86.15
hero: $49.75
Button: $33.95
SB: $44
BB: $74.70

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is CO with
2 folds, hero raises to $2, Button raises to $3.5, 2 folds, hero calls.

Flop: ($7.75, 2 players)
hero bets $3.5, Button raises to $19, hero raises to $34.5, Button calls all-in $11.45.
Uncalled bets: $4.05 returned to hero.

Turn: ($68.65, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $68.65)


River: ($68.65, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $68.65)


Results:
Final pot: $68.65
hero showed Th Ts
Other guy showed KK

ONE MORE, Last hand: Do you fold this turn? does he have two pair enough?

Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $64.80
UTG+1: $36.65
CO: $51
Button: $11.40
SB: $28.45
hero: $133.45

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is BB with
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $2, 3 folds, hero raises to $5, UTG+1 calls.

Flop: ($10.25, 2 players)
hero bets $5.5, UTG+1 calls.

Turn: ($21.25, 2 players)
hero bets $7.5, UTG+1 raises all-in $26.15, hero folds.
Uncalled bets: $18.65 returned to UTG+1.

Results:
Final pot: $36.25

i told u what i thought for hands 1-3 in IRC

for hand 4, bet the flop like u got a pair, ZINGGG, then fold to MR by donkaset b.c. ur drawin weak. Unless hes bein MR'n ALL of ur cbs which cud be a c/c scenario.

hand 5. fold to his RR

hand 6- RR to at least 6 preflop. this will theoretically define his hand range. He will most likely push with AA-KK, b/c hes a shorty qq too. AK/aq, TT will most likely call. in other words fold to his AI

hand7- bet the flop more, like 6. fold to his RR.

8- RR more preflop imo, you dont want these donks to call u with pp's and sc's. I prob C/R flop. I think ur lead is weak at 5.5 into a 10 pot. his play screams JJ to me. I would fold turn i guess unless i had a read that screamed i suck ballz.

I played an hour session today and ended up 4.5 buyins. I played very well and hit a lot of sets; this is the only questionable hand I had of the session. Does anyone like this play or is it just spewing?


Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $62.50
UTG+1: $73.60
CO: $93.45
Button: $49.25
hero: $101.15
BB: $50.75

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is SB with
UTG raises to $2.5, UTG+1 folds, CO calls, Button calls, hero raises to $10.5

EDIT: I guess this is pretty much the same situation:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.25/$0.50
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $30.25
UTG+1: $10.60
CO: $14
Button: $42.20
SB: $25.25
hero: $99.30

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is BB with
UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $1, CO folds, Button raises to $3.5, SB folds, hero raises to $9.5


EDIT: just got done with another session. KILL ME

and minus about 50+ for the 3r

I'm bad. Graph for today so far:


Since I started playing:




I'm just getting owned when I have semi good holdings and not getting paid off when I'm good. I'll post some hands later I guess but for now I'm just done with poker for the day/weekend. I'm down to having a roll of about 1500 from 1800+ 3 days ago and it's kind of discouraging. I feel as though I'm still playing well... I'm just getting really really cold decked. Top two vs bottom set, bottom set vs flopped straight, none of my combo draws are hitting, all of their draws ARE hitting, etc. etc. I've only played 20k hands, and the majority of them are at 10NL, so I can't exactly know where I'm at right now. I'm running at 4.29PTBB/100 (which is actually double for NL?) over all limits, unfortunately i'm losing at the higher ones. I'm still up 80 in cash games, not to mention the 3k from the 3r. My vpip is 20 and my prf raise is 15.5... exactly where I want them. I was running incredibly hot last week so I suppose it's just a standard downswing.

just lost a buyin in about an hour. would have been up at least two buyins if these hands didnt happen..

POKERSTARS GAME #8178940677: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.10/$0.25) - 2007/01/29 - 10:20:40 (ET)
Table 'Janacek' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: tiur72 ($14.85 in chips)
Seat 3: Rob1n ($47.15 in chips)
Seat 4: spinmydog ($37.40 in chips)
Seat 5: Naxer ($25 in chips)
Seat 6: Tunkpirate ($22.30 in chips)
tiur72: posts small blind $0.10
Rob1n: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Tunkpirate [Kd Kh]
spinmydog: calls $0.25
Naxer: folds
Tunkpirate: raises $0.75 to $1
tiur72: folds
Rob1n: raises $2.50 to $3.50
spinmydog: folds
dennis0607 joins the table at seat #2
Tunkpirate: calls $2.50
*** FLOP *** [Jd Ts 2s]
Rob1n: bets $9
Tunkpirate: raises $9.80 to $18.80 and is all-in
Rob1n: calls $9.80
*** TURN *** [Jd Ts 2s]
*** RIVER *** [Jd Ts 2s Jh]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Rob1n: shows [Ac Ad] (two pair, Aces and Jacks)
Tunkpirate: mucks hand
Rob1n collected $42.95 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $44.95 | Rake $2
Board [Jd Ts 2s Jh 8h]
Seat 1: tiur72 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: Rob1n (big blind) showed [Ac Ad] and won ($42.95) with two pair, Aces and Jacks
Seat 4: spinmydog folded before Flop
Seat 5: Naxer folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Tunkpirate (button) mucked [Kd Kh]


POKERSTARS GAME #8179233579: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.10/$0.25) - 2007/01/29 - 10:53:41 (ET)
Table 'Janacek' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: tiur72 ($42.05 in chips)
Seat 2: dennis0607 ($12.65 in chips)
Seat 3: Rob1n ($76.65 in chips)
Seat 4: fishkiller72 ($10.35 in chips)
Seat 5: Naxer ($30.55 in chips)
Seat 6: Tunkpirate ($24.90 in chips)
Rob1n: posts small blind $0.10
fishkiller72: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Tunkpirate [Td Tc]
Naxer: folds
Tunkpirate: raises $0.75 to $1
tiur72: folds
dennis0607: calls $1
Rob1n: folds
fishkiller72: folds
*** FLOP *** [8d Th Qc]
Tunkpirate: bets $1.50
dennis0607: calls $1.50
*** TURN *** [8d Th Qc]
Tunkpirate: bets $4
dennis0607: raises $6.15 to $10.15 and is all-in
Tunkpirate: calls $6.15
*** RIVER *** [8d Th Qc As]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Tunkpirate: shows [Td Tc] (three of a kind, Tens)
dennis0607: shows [Ad Kd] (a straight, Ten to Ace)
dennis0607 collected $24.40 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $25.65 | Rake $1.25
Board [8d Th Qc As Jh]
Seat 1: tiur72 folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: dennis0607 (button) showed [Ad Kd] and won ($24.40) with a straight, Ten to Ace
Seat 3: Rob1n (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: fishkiller72 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: Naxer folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: Tunkpirate showed [Td Tc] and lost with three of a kind, Tens


POKERSTARS GAME #8179198850: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.10/$0.25) - 2007/01/29 - 10:49:46 (ET)
Table 'Eulalia' 6-max Seat #6 is the button
Seat 1: Tunkpirate ($23.65 in chips)
Seat 3: brianb11 ($9.85 in chips)
Seat 4: maxyee ($24.60 in chips)
Seat 5: Golden Nugz ($26.45 in chips)
Seat 6: WillNotWin ($43.25 in chips)
Tunkpirate: posts small blind $0.10
brianb11: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Tunkpirate [Ad As]
maxyee: folds
Golden Nugz: calls $0.25
tonyj444 joins the table at seat #2
WillNotWin: calls $0.25
Tunkpirate: raises $0.75 to $1
brianb11: calls $0.75
Golden Nugz: calls $0.75
WillNotWin: calls $0.75
*** FLOP *** [5d Ks 8c]
Tunkpirate: bets $3
brianb11: folds
Golden Nugz: raises $22.45 to $25.45 and is all-in
WillNotWin: folds
Tunkpirate: calls $19.65 and is all-in
*** TURN *** [5d Ks 8c]
*** RIVER *** [5d Ks 8c 9d]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Tunkpirate: shows [Ad As] (a pair of Aces)
Golden Nugz: shows [Kh 8h] (two pair, Kings and Eights)
Golden Nugz collected $47.30 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $49.30 | Rake $2
Board [5d Ks 8c 9d Qs]
Seat 1: Tunkpirate (small blind) showed [Ad As] and lost with a pair of Aces
Seat 3: brianb11 (big blind) folded on the Flop
Seat 4: maxyee folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 5: Golden Nugz showed [Kh 8h] and won ($47.30) with two pair, Kings and Eights
Seat 6: WillNotWin (button) folded on the Flop

god damnit. i hate this game. I'm gonna post some hands. Tell me what i'm doing wrong.

This is a shit ton of hands. Would really really really appreciate it if you posted on hands you think i played poorly.

Hand 1:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players


Stack sizes:
hero: $25.65
UTG+1: $20.75
CO: $38.35
Button: $12
SB: $23.05
BB: $31.80

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is UTG with
hero raises to $1, 2 folds, Button raises to $1.75, 2 folds, hero calls.

Flop: ($3.85, 2 players)
hero bets $2, Button raises to $4, hero raises to $18.5, Button calls all-in $6.25.
Uncalled bets: $8.25 returned to hero.

Turn: ($24.35, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $24.35)


River: ($24.35, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $24.35)


Results:
Final pot: $24.35
hero showed Qs Jh



Hand 2:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
5 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $43
CO: $11.80
hero: $48.95
SB: $34.80
BB: $15.30

Pre-flop: (5 players) hero is Button with
UTG folds, CO raises to $0.5, hero calls, SB folds, BB calls.

Flop: ($1.6, 3 players)
BB checks, CO bets $1, hero raises to $3, BB folds, CO raises to $5, hero calls.

Turn: ($11.6, 2 players)
CO is all-in $6.3, hero calls.

River: ($24.2, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $24.2)


Results:
Final pot: $24.2
CO showed Ad Ac

Hand 3:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
5 players


Stack sizes:
hero: $27.50
CO: $32.30
Button: $12.05
SB: $26.05
BB: $28

Pre-flop: (5 players) hero is UTG with
hero raises to $1, CO raises to $1.75, 3 folds, hero calls.

Flop: ($3.85, 2 players)
hero bets $3.75, CO raises all-in $30.55, hero calls all-in $22.
Uncalled bets: $4.8 returned to CO.

Turn: ($55.35, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $55.35)


River: ($55.35, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $55.35)


Results:
Final pot: $55.35
hero showed Th Ts
CO showed Ks Kh

Hand 4:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $25.05
UTG+1: $27.80
hero: $32.45
Button: $4.40
SB: $24.75
BB: $38.20

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is CO with
UTG calls, UTG+1 folds, hero raises to $1, 3 folds, UTG calls.

Flop: ($2.35, 2 players)
UTG checks, hero bets $1.25, UTG calls.

Turn: ($4.85, 2 players)
UTG checks, hero bets $3.25, UTG raises to $13.25, hero raises all-in $30.2, UTG calls all-in $9.55.
Uncalled bets: $7.4 returned to hero.

River: ($50.45, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $50.45)


Results:
Final pot: $50.45
UTG showed Jd Qd
hero mucks Tc Th

Hand 5:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $22.95
UTG+1: $27.15
CO: $14.75
Button: $27.35
SB: $4.65
hero: $29.95

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is BB with
UTG calls, UTG+1 calls, CO (poster) checks, Button folds, SB calls, hero (poster) checks.

Flop: ($1.25, 5 players)
SB checks, hero bets $1, UTG folds, UTG+1 raises to $3, 2 folds, hero raises to $7.25, UTG+1 raises to $17, hero raises to $27.75, UTG+1 calls all-in $9.9.
Uncalled bets: $0.85 returned to hero.

Turn: ($55.05, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $55.05)


River: ($55.05, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $55.05)


Results:
Final pot: $55.05
UTG+1 showed Qd Qh
hero showed 9s 5h

Hand 6:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $18.05
UTG+1: $15.40
CO: $24.45
hero: $29.05
SB: $17.60
BB: $14.15

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is Button with
3 folds, hero raises to $1, SB raises to $1.75, BB folds, hero calls.

Flop: ($3.75, 2 players)
SB bets $3, hero raises to $7, SB calls.

Turn: ($17.75, 2 players)
SB checks, hero is all-in $20.3, SB calls all-in $8.85.
Uncalled bets: $11.45 returned to hero.

River: ($35.45, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $35.45)


Results:
Final pot: $35.45
SB showed As 9s

Hand 7:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
5 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $48.85
CO: $12.55
Button: $19
SB: $16.20
hero: $57.20

Pre-flop: (5 players) hero is BB with
3 folds, SB calls, hero raises to $1.25, SB calls.

Flop: ($2.5, 2 players)
SB bets $0.25, hero raises to $1.5, SB raises to $5, hero raises all-in $55.95, SB calls all-in $9.95.
Uncalled bets: $41 returned to hero.

Turn: ($32.4, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $32.4)


River: ($32.4, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $32.4)


Results:
Final pot: $32.4
SB showed Qd 2s
hero mucks Ks Kh

Hand 8:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $37.90
UTG+1: $29.35
CO: $13.80
Button: $48.85
SB: $10.60
hero: $27.35

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is BB with
UTG raises to $1, 3 folds, SB raises all-in $10.6, hero raises all-in $27.35.
Uncalled bets: $16.75 returned to hero.

Flop: ($12.6, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $22.2)


Turn: ($12.6, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $22.2)


River: ($12.6, 0 player + 2 all-in - Main pot: $22.2)


Results:
Final pot: $12.6
SB showed As Ah
hero mucks Kd Kc

Hand 9:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
5 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $15.65
CO: $31.75
Button: $25
SB: $28.70
hero: $36.45

Pre-flop: (5 players) hero is BB with
UTG raises to $1.25, CO calls, Button folds, SB calls, hero calls.

Flop: ($5, 4 players)
SB checks, hero bets $3.25, UTG calls, CO folds, SB calls.

Turn: ($14.75, 3 players)
SB checks, hero bets $12, UTG folds, SB calls.

River: ($38.75, 2 players)
SB checks, hero checks.

Results:
Final pot: $38.75
SB showed Qh Qc
hero mucks Ad Th

Hand 10:
Poker Stars
No Limit Holdem Ring game
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25
6 players


Stack sizes:
UTG: $46.20
UTG+1: $24.40
CO: $25
Button: $31.25
SB: $51.75
hero: $27.95

Pre-flop: (6 players) hero is BB with
UTG calls, 2 folds, Button raises to $0.75, SB folds, hero raises to $2, UTG folds, Button calls.

Flop: ($4.35, 2 players)
hero bets $3, Button raises to $6, hero raises all-in $25.95, Button calls.

Turn: ($56.25, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $56.25)


River: ($56.25, 1 player + 1 all-in - Main pot: $56.25)


Results:
Final pot: $56.25
hero showed Ah Ac
villain showed 44

Hand 11:
POKERSTARS GAME #8299335180: HOLD'EM NO LIMIT ($0.10/$0.25) - 2007/02/05 - 20:42:36 (ET)
Table 'Dejopeja' 6-max Seat #2 is the button
Seat 1: Tunkpirate ($23.65 in chips)
Seat 2: Marcog84 ($40.05 in chips)
Seat 3: kbnhus ($16.35 in chips)
Seat 4: swityak11 ($44.50 in chips)
Seat 5: thunderbart ($26 in chips)
Seat 6: ginnni ($54.95 in chips)
kbnhus: posts small blind $0.10
swityak11: posts big blind $0.25
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Tunkpirate [Kd Ah]
thunderbart: folds
ginnni: folds
Tunkpirate: raises $0.75 to $1
Marcog84: raises $2.50 to $3.50
kbnhus: folds
swityak11: folds
Tunkpirate: raises $20.15 to $23.65 and is all-in
Marcog84: calls $20.15
*** FLOP *** [4s Kc 3d]
*** TURN *** [4s Kc 3d]
*** RIVER *** [4s Kc 3d 7c]
*** SHOW DOWN ***
Tunkpirate: shows [Kd Ah] (two pair, Kings and Fours)
Marcog84: shows [3s 3c] (a full house, Threes full of Fours)
Marcog84 collected $45.30 from pot
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $47.65 | Rake $2.35
Board [4s Kc 3d 7c 4h]
Seat 1: Tunkpirate showed [Kd Ah] and lost with two pair, Kings and Fours
Seat 2: Marcog84 (button) showed [3s 3c] and won ($45.30) with a full house, Threes full of Fours
Seat 3: kbnhus (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 4: swityak11 (big blind) folded before Flop
Seat 5: thunderbart folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 6: ginnni folded before Flop (didn't bet)

I can handle the variance of flipping, especially against 33... is 4 bet preflop standard?