by Aisthesis » Tue Nov 15, 2005 9:58 am
Yeah, Kenny, I agree with you whole-heartedly on the "good player" assessment. I definitely do know of a few, but it's absolutely shocking to me how HORRIBLY the vast majority of people play.
I really think that a lot of my paranoia about telegraphing my hand back in online days was completely ill-founded. For one thing, just looking at myself, I feel like I'm more observant than most, and it takes me quite a while to get an accurate take even over a number of hours playing B&M.
More for "long-term improvement," I still am definitely a fan of what I like to call "monolithic betting" (same bet on a wide range of good holdings), but if you're not playing almost constantly against the same players, I think they have much less of a read on you than you're inclined to think.
Sweet play, by the way, I think your read of QJ/QT sounds perfectly logical here. And I think the 1/3-pottish bet is also a really good way to determine just which it is.
I might add (to MVP) that if you're making bets to define your opponent's hand, I don't think you're giving away a whole Hell of a lot even to a perceptive opponent. Just as an example here: Couldn't that same 1/3 pot bet also bet HOPING to get a raise out of QJ because Kenny just flopped a set of fives? It at least seems to me like the bet could work pretty well on a set there--QT flat calls and is drawing completely dead, QJ raises and is going to have trouble laying down to an all-in with only 4 outs.
Anyhow, I guess my main point is that if you're betting in order to define what your opponent has (under the presupposition that you have SOMETHING as a general rule, since you continued with the hand after the flop), then you almost CAN'T be giving away what you yourself have.