by gdaviet » Fri Sep 16, 2005 7:48 am
Thanks guys. Great input. Here's what happened and what the heck I was thinking.
I tend to play a fairly straight forward aggressive strategy (ie. I'll raise any unraised pot I want to enter, I'll bet any flop into a tight opponent, I bet my made hands, I rarely call ... plain vanilla aggression without being a maniac).
This hand was proceeding as normal. After several limpers, I made a large pre-flop raise and got one taker. He's what I consider solid ... PFA ~ 2, WTSD% ~ 15-20, PFR% 3 - 5. He's not getting creative with most of his hands, but he's not doing a lot of calling either.
I flop an open ended straight draw. Not the greatest flop for my hand, but it will do after Mr. Solid checks to me. I make my standard bet (really expecting a fold or a raise) and he CALLS me so fast, it's like he had knnown he was calling any bet. Clue #1.
The turn comes a blank and now he makes this sheepish bet into me. Clue #2 This bet is only about 60% of the bet he CALLED on the flop. I think for quite a while on this. Finally I decide on 1 of 2 possibilities. 1) He flopped a set, thinks I'm drawing nearly dead, and is hoping for small payoff. 2) He flopped a big draw, missed the turn, and wants to get odds for the river. I don't feel sure on either possibility, so raising or folding both seem like bad options. I chose to call. I take so long to figure this all out, that my call must look very weak. Clue #3
The river brings another blank. Now this solid player bets half the pot. This doesn't match his turn bet at all. I go into think mode and review my clues. #1 He is auto-calling the flop. #2 His bet on the turn could be blocking for a draw #3 My turn call looked weak.
With my three clues, a large river bet for value doesn't seem to make sense. If he's that strong, and I'm that weak, he can't figure to get a call. If he has a hand like Ah Kh, this bet doesn't make a lot of sense as a bluff. If I'm really that weak, his A is probably good ... why would he risk so much to find out? Another blocking bet would probably do the trick since it could also look like another value bet.
The only thing that makes sense to me here is a big missed draw. I put him on exactly Kh Qh and decide to make the call. Now, players like this one are rare at this level. Many of them are all over the place and unreadable. I'm getting 3 to 1 from the pot. A raise makes no sense here, because I'm not going to win any more money if I'm right, but I'll almost certainly lose it all if I'm wrong.
Turns out I was slightly off. He had the 7h 6h, but the pieces still fit for that hand as well. This is one of the few times I was able to use all those chapters and articles on reading players and reading hands that I've read.
The general response I got from the table was 'WOW' ... that felt pretty good.
Comments?
Last edited by
gdaviet on Fri Sep 16, 2005 11:05 am, edited 1 time in total.