by Tiburon » Fri Sep 16, 2005 11:02 am
I think he has AK. Why? I'll detail my thoughts.
UTG raise to $4: What type of read do you have on this player? TAG? LAG? If he's tight, I figure him for AA, AK, KK, or QQ. This is very read dependent.
He calls your re-raise to $10: This reinforces the above. If he re-raised, he's trying to represent AA (IMHO).
On the flop, the pot is $21.50. You bet slightly less than full pot, and he raises you to the full pot.
He then checks, looking to induce a bet perhaps for a second check-raise. He is disappointed when you don't fire out.
On the river, he pushes. Believe me, he wasn't pushing with TT. You've played him passively, and he takes a shot at the big pot by pushing. He figures the same thing. Only AA or KK "beat him." Unfortunately, you have one of those hands. It's the kind of hand you go with your gut. My gut says AK, and if I'm wrong, I lose a stack. I think only KK realistically beats you, unless he completely sucked it out with QJ, and if he does, nothing you do makes the outcome different, and you need to tag this guy for your buddy list.
I agree--you have to call.
"...Every time you cold call, god kills a puppy."
--JJSCOTT2
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